汽车音响音乐元素好吗:the lows of the high techonology

The network company no longer is sight, the high-tech company no longer dazzles, all these were suggesting the new economical first ebb tide already approached. Under the new economical background, the economy decelerates has its own unique some rules, they already fully unfolded in front of the common people.

Since recently period of time, the magnificent for a while network company again also power and prestige has once not gotten up, a large quantities of networks companies' staff encounters the reduction, these new economies "Pang" the present day really does not feel better. However, an American economy bigger trouble is far does not here, Microsoft Corporation first time sends out the quarter income in 10 years to be lower than the forecast number the warning, the famous 百货业 group company Ward announcement closes 250 stores, reduces staff 37,000 people, the Pacific Ocean railroad integrated corporation dismisses 2,000 staffs and so on. All these news make one feel this year the winter is cold, mentions most words is specially "the decline". Many economical data all indicated American economy future trend not too wonderful, as necessary possibly 滑入 declines, the new economy thoroughly will deny economical cyclical the prediction not to attack but broken. However, in fact, this American economy growth postpones all sorts of performance differs from truly with the traditional economy under. Although traditional factor and so on interest rate, energy price, debt burden still in had an effect, but actually this economy did glide down the depth and the breadth were big, possibly will be decided under the one whole set new economy the rule.

NO 1: Rises quickly falls quickly

The new economical time investor's enthusiasm often is the investment risk concrete manifestation, is in the certain top digit when the stock market, any dim advantage good news can by the geometry level enlargement. But, when some goes on the market company's stock price is its income dozens of time, this company announced suddenly the company manages has certain minimum mistakes, this time this family company's stock can encounter in the stock market attacks continuously, a group glides down. For example, in the near future the famous network company Cisco system company announced that, "prepares to delimit 275 million US dollars by to prevent certain customers possibly to expire is unable to pay", this says, Wall Street gives Cisco the stock price color to look immediately, fell all of a sudden 12%.

In the traditional economical time, the stock market is one kind of maintenance stable channel. The rich old people usually read in the morning go on the market company's information to disclose and yesterday closed the situation, understood in his/her hand the stock small scale rise and drop. The present shareholders had Internet and "the NCBL scene report", the people may the visual observation to the stock market all which occurs, and the forecast same day trend, then informs its manager to pursue this trend. Is in the bull market when the stock market, the stock price fierce undulation brings the incomparable happiness, when you yesterday bought after all the stock rose 30% to be many today, the mood was good absolutely. But, if the stock market occupies drops the channel, any slightest sign of trouble advantage spatial news causes the investors sufficiently "the blood stream everywhere". Why has since this been in 2000 becomes it in the Nasdaq market to establish for 29 years, displays one of most disappointing years.

NO 2: Wall Street and the common people live are bound by a common cause

The stock market always is the various countries' economy development barometer, now it still was playing this aspect role. But, the now stock market was affecting the American economy performance aspect the function already by far in the past, it started to decide the American was willing to purchase how many toys, the automobile and so on daily 生活品. This is because at present has the stock the American family no matter is the direct purchase stock, and 401 (K) retires the plan investment stock market through the cooperation fund, had already achieved sets a record 49%, but in 1952, this proportion was only 4%. Time when the stock market climbs unceasingly, the American felt the wallet also drum pouch. In 1999, the □Jones index rose 25%, the Nasdaq index has risen dramatically 85%, the American family property also inflated 550 billion US dollars along with it. This "the wealth effect" rapidly transforms as the expense disbursement which increases unceasingly. Statistics have indicated, the American makes a profit every time in the stock market 1 US dollar, can spend 3 to 5 cents. Therefore, consumer's disbursement constituted the US economic activity 2/3 to be many nearly, this to the American economy was quite important. "The wealth effect" has become the new economical without doubt the formidable strut strength, but the present this tendency dynasty reverse direction evolves. Along with stock market's lowering, follows but comes is "the wealth effect" the negative influence. Although the American unemployment rate now was still 4%, but newest announcement consumer confidence index actually anxious. Causes the American to expend one of discrete reasons is they eagerly looks at own stock value unceasing synaeresis. Referred from last year road referred after the natrium sets the record of historical new high, to the present American's wealth nearly reduced 250 billion US dollars. Just like investor when stock market rise purchases the commodity and the service disbursement sharp increase is same, the stock market fell also causes them largely to reduce the expense disbursement. The trade stored goods with the sales ratio (uses in surveying commodity not to sell time method) already to leap to 1.35 months, since was 1999 the highest data. Federal Reserve former Vice-President Ai Lisi □advantage Flynn pointed out that, "the present key is the confidence question, once the people have lost the confidence, then the American economy has the possibility all of a sudden 滑入 during very much the decline."

NO 3: The growth slows down does not mean the unemployment increase

Gradually draws back along with the new economical upsurge, large quantities of staffs are unemployed 锣鼓声 already sounded. Later last year, the network company had 36,000 employees to receive resigns from office the written notice, only previous month had 10,000 employees to encounter the company to dismiss. But, the company largely reduces staff the activity only to limit by no means to the network profession, has covered faced with the unemployment shadow in the entire American various professions. Last November, had 480,000 people to be unemployed, the general automobile reduced staff 15,000 people, the Wheare water's edge personnel losses 6,300 people, this all was the living example.

However, is startled the common people is the American unemployment rate still is in until now the quite low level. Although last year natrium referred layer on layer lowers, the economy rate of rise postponed, but the unemployment rate still paced back and forth in 3.9% to 4.1% between. This undulation scope and the traditional economy unemployment rate compared appears quite healthily, after all the American unemployment rate once arrives 9.7% to 1982, in 1992 also has achieved 7.5%. Therefore, according to traditional economy classical theory, so long as "the natural unemployment rate" is lower than the certain level, the economical authority implementation monetary policy, the financial policy cannot initiate the inflation. But the American natural unemployment rate general limits were 6%, therefore the present unemployment rate still was in lowly